"You are educated when you have the ability to listen to almost anything
without losing your temper or self-confidence." - Robert Frost

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Final 2011 Mock Draft

Here is my final 2011 Mock Draft (trying to predict what will happen).

1 Carolina
Cam Newton
2 Denver
Marcel Dareus
3 Buffalo
Von Miller
4 Cincinnati
AJ Green
5 Arizona
Blaine Gabbert
6 Cleveland
Da'Quan Bowers
7 San Francisco
Patrick Peterson
8 Tennessee
Nick Fairley
9 St. Louis (Dallas)
Julio Jones #14 and #78 for pick #9
10 New England (Washington)
Robert Quinn #17 and #60 for pick #10
11 Houston
Prince Amukamara
12 Minnesota
Cameron Jordan
13 Detroit
Tyron Smith
14 Dallas (St. Louis)
JJ Watt
15 Miami
Ryan Mallett
16 Jacksonville
Ryan Kerrigan
17 Washington (New England)
Aldon Smith #10 for #17 and #60
18 San Diego
Adrian Clayborn
19 New York Giants
Anthony Costanzo
20 Tampa Bay
Justin Houston
21 Kansas City
Phil Taylor
22 Indianapolis
Derek Sherrod
23 Philadelphia
Jimmy Smith
24 New Orleans
Corey Luiget
25 Seattle
Christian Ponder
26 Baltimore
Brandon Harris
27 Pittsburgh (Atlanta)
Mike Pouncey #31 and #95 for #27 and #124
28 New England
Mark Ingram
29 Chicago
Gabe Carimi
30 New York Jets
Muhammed Wilkenson
31 Washington (Atl & Pit)
Jake Locker #27 and #124 for #31 and #95
32 Green Bay
Cameron Heyward

33 New England
Danny Watkins
34 Buffalo
Nate Solder
35 Cincinnati
Benjamin Ilajana
36 Denver
Akeem Ayers
37 Cleveland
Jonathan Balwin
38 Arizona
Brooks Reed
39 Tennessee
Rahim Moore
40 Dallas
Aaron Williams
41 Atlanta (Washington)
Kyle Rudolf
42 Houston
Stephen Paea
43 Minnesota
Andy Dalton
44 Detroit
Marvin Austin
45 San Francisco
Jabaal Sheard
46 Denver
Martez Wilson
47 St. Louis
Mikel Leshore
48 Oakland
Davon House
49 Jacksonville
Curtis Brown
50 San Diego
Leonard Hankerson
51 Tampa Bay
Ryan Williams
52 New York Giants
Bruce Carter
53 Indianapolis
Drake Nevis
54 Philadelphia
Stephan Wisniewski
55 Kansas City
James Carpenter
56 New Orleans
Mason Foster
57 Seattle
Rodney Hudson
58 Baltimore
Torrey Smith
59 Atlanta
Allen Bailey
60 Atlanta (Wash & NE)
Clint Boling
61 San Diego
Donte Moch
62 Chicago
Jurrell Casey
63 Pittsburgh
Ras-I Dowling
64 Green Bay
Chris Carter

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Final 2011 NFL Draft Player Rankings

Here is my final 2011 NFL Draft Player Rankings.  It is presented in spreadsheet form that is available to print or download.

2011 NFL Draft Rankings (FINAL)

A couple quick notes:

1.  I have included both National Football Post rankings and NFL Draft Scout rankings and the current "trend" from the last time rankings were posted.  This is correct as of April 26, 2011.

2.  There are some players missing after my top 110 prospects.  I try to include most interesting prospects as "extras" at the bottom of the sheet (thus making the total players ranked over 250+), but this is NOT a complete list of all prospects.

3.  Remember quarterbacks are not on the main list and instead on Sheet 2 of the spreadsheet.

4.  I hope the columns are self-explanatory.  Any questions, just ask below and I'll try to help out.

Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Final Quarterback Ratings and Thoughts

This is one of the most enjoyable draft years for quarterbacks because there is so much divisive and different opinions on the players.  After a couple more weeks to digest tape and rumor and outside opinion, I am ready to go on record with my final opinions on the quarterbacks:

The Franchise Guys:

These are the players I believe if given ample time and investment (i.e. keep the same offensive system, don’t force them on the field and give them 20 starts before coming to conclusions) will end up being top-15 quarterbacks in the league and provide a passing offense that will reach 85.0+ QB rating and a scoring offense in the top half of the league.

1.        Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
I have liked Gabbert since this process began and I’m sticking with my initial gut feeling on the guy.  I think he’s going to take some time, but I also think he has the mental capacity and work ethic to improve a lot under good coaching.  His quick release is his best NFL quality.  Playing style is sort of a mix between Stafford/Kolb/McNabb to me; with the range of success similar to what you are seeing from those players statistically.  I don’t know what team/coordinator/system would best suit Gabbert yet.  I think he could succeed in a west-coast style (like Kolb/McNabb) or run a quick passing attack out of the shotgun a lot (like what Detroit is doing with Stafford).  He is not ideally suited for the Martz/Zampezi/Turner system based on old Don Coryell’s vertical system.  I do not see any limitations on climate or playing conditions with Gabbert.   I think he can succeed in a cold weather situation if necessary but since he might be the best fit for a pass-happy offense (like McNabb), getting into really bad climate might not ideally work.

2.       Christian Ponder, Florida State
Ponder is a quarterback I would love to build a balanced, smart, run-oriented offense around.  I know it’s sacrilege to say I don’t want an offense that throws it 40 times a game, but I do think a coach that believes (and coaches) the running game equally with the passing game would find Ponder a perfect fit.   Ponder will be incorrectly labeled “a game manager” in his successful career but might end up with more wins than any quarterback in this draft.  His clone image is a younger Chad Pennington.  And that’s the career he could develop and foster if given the right team and coaching staff.  I have always like Pennington as a quarterback when he is healthy.  He always seems to win even when the talent around him isn’t great and always seem to give your team a shot.  I expect Ponder to be the same.  I think Ponder would excel for a cold weather team.  He has large hands and his velocity on his throws has come back a lot since his shoulder surgery.  I expect his arm strength to improve over time as well.  The ideal offensive systems are those that are built by former offensive linemen and tight ends:  Whisenhunt, Grimm, Callahan, Sporano, Tice, Cable.

3.        Ryan Mallett, Arkansas
There is no doubt Mallett is a boom/bust prospect.  But as of today, he’s on my list of players I would pin my franchise too if I needed a quarterback (and he fits my system).  The player Mallett most reminds me of is Drew Bledsoe (who was coached by Pete Carroll, Bill Parcels and Bill Belichick by the way) and Kerry Collins.  Mallett has the best arm in this draft and that arm is worth drafting because it allows for an offense to attack all areas of the field.  Teams that believe in max protection and the use of tight ends (to help chip pass rushers) can make sure Mallett stays upright enough so his arm can do the rest.  Look at Tennessee, Miami and San Deigo as offenses that almost always have a FB, H-Back or TE on the field.  Those are where Mallett could excel.  Mallett also would do well in any climate or environmental conditions, which opens up franchises in extreme conditions like Buffalo or Denver.

The Guys I Would Pass On:

These players I would not have on my draft board (or so low they can’t possibly be available).

1.       Cam Newton, Auburn
This is the controversy of the 2011 draft class and I have decided to pin some of my future reputation on saying Newton will never live up to the status of a franchise quarterback.  That the offense he ends up running will be lackluster and struggle week-to-week in the NFL.  This is not to say we won’t see Newton make plays.  But making plays and leading a consistent offense are two different things to me.  I am not going to rehash all of Newton’s negatives but if I was running a team, Newton would not be on my radar.

2.       Jake Locker, Washington
I want to like Locker, I really do.  I respect his decision to go back to school and try to improve with a horrific supporting cast.  But when I look at the totality of his “game”, I just see too many holes that would allow him to prosper in the NFL.  The dilemma of Locker is how his ability matches up with any current system or coach.  Most have sidetracked that issue stating he “looks like Jake Plummer, therefore he fits with Mike Shanahan” or “He went to Washington, therefore he fits with Seattle”.  But the reality is if you step away from those weak connections, Locker really doesn’t fit with anyone.  Locker reminds me a bit of Tim Tebow in the sense it eventually comes down to how many NFL throws you have really seen him make from the pocket.  And like Tebow, it’s just not that many.  Locker is am improviser at this point and I struggle to see that allowed in the rigid structure of the NFL.  And unlike Tebow, he’s not going to have the fan support to supply the collateral of “time” or expect a offensive coordinator to build an offense for Jake Locker.  This is absolutely the toughest question mark I have of all the quarterbacks.  But I see Locker as an athlete that just can’t spin the ball well enough to be an effective starting QB.

 The Sleeper I would take to Develop

1.       Ricki Stanzi, Iowa
Of all the tier-2 prospects (Stanzi, Dalton, Kaepernick, McElroy and Devlin), Stanzi is my guess to most surprise us and say “Why didn’t we see that before?”.  My analysis of Stanzi is very similar to Christian Ponder in the fact I really believe he has the intangibles to be an NFL starting quarterback.  And when I combine that with the size and arm, you have the ingredients for potential success story.  Stanzi also reminds me a bit of Tom Brady.  He’s a tall kid that needs to strengthen his core muscles a bit, improve his velocity and mechanics and develop accuracy through technique.  Stanzi is the ideal Bill Belichick project quarterback and looks very similar to Matt Cassel.  There is connection from Belichick through Ferentz as well.  That’s not to say Stanzi only succeeds in New England.  As Belichick’s disciples spread, so to the likelihood of Stanzi’s success.  Landing spots like Atlanta, Kansas City or St. Louis all might let Stanzi learn and grow and potential turn into an asset for those teams down the line (like Kolb and Flynn are now).

Friday, April 1, 2011

Mock Draft v1.0

Based on my quarterback theories for the 2011 off-season (see below), I will now try to fill in the rest of a two-round mock draft.

Note I really hate mock drafts.  Are they predictions?  Are they what should happen?  Am I trying to make sense/fans happy?  Remember, my Big Board is more a representation of the value of players and where they should go. 

But I guess since I blog about this stuff, I have to do it (I’ve never done one before to this degree).  Tell me what you think.

1.        Carolina Panther - Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
Carolina is clearly way behind the other teams in their division at the quarterback position.  Based on his 10 starts and 300 attempts, I don’t think you can move forward depending on Jimmy Clausen.  And going the route of another 2nd rounder isn’t being assertive enough.  This team DOES have talent and the ability to run the ball but will not get far in the division without getting its team QB rating up above 80.  In my opinion, Gabbert is the best bet to make that happen in the next 2-3 years.

2.        Denver Broncos - Marcel Dareus, DT, Alabama
Denver has struggled with its front-7 for the past half decade.  Dareus is a monster 3-down player that can shore up the lack of size/strength in the middle and hopefully allow a healthy Elvis Dumerville to reassert himself as a tier-1 pass rusher.

3.       Buffalo Bills - Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
I’m not a big fan of Newton but going to the Bills is the best situation for him.  He will be in a small market.  He can sit behind a workaholic in Ryan Fitzpatrick.  And Gailey is creative enough to design a potentially great offense around Newton/Spiller if given the time and resources to do that.  A defensive pick will never change the Bills status in the AFC East.  Only hitting a home run with Newton can elevate them into the Jets/Patriots class.  It’s a risk you have to take.

4.       Philadelphia Eagles (from Cincinnati) - Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
When Peterson becomes available, Philadelphia and Cincinnati agree to swap 1st rounders in exchange for Kevin Kolb.  Peterson is the gem of this year’s draft class and Philadelphia gets their man to play opposite Asante Samuel.  Cincinnati follows that up with trading Carson Palmer to the Arizona Cardinals for pick #38 and Cincinnati now has 4 picks in the first 66 selections plus Kevin Kolb.

5.       Arizona Cardinals - Von Miller, OLB, Texas
When Gabbert goes 1st overall, Arizona goes to plan B which is trade their 2nd round pick to Cincinnati and select Von Miller to shore up their terrible OLB core.  No player in the draft is a better fit based on value and need than Miller at #5.

6.       Cleveland Browns - A. J. Green, WR, Georgia
Mike Holmgren is a tough guy to predict.  In his 18 years as head coach/GM he selected a WR high in the draft once and got burned (Koren Robinson, #9 in 2001).  Is Green enough of a talent to pull the trigger again?  I think yes, but this pick could be very late in arriving to the podium.  Wide receiver makes sense since the two 2nd rounders selected in 2009 weren’t west-coast guys like Holmgren wants/needs so they are irrelevant in the decision process.  I think Holmgren realizes to beat Pittsburgh and Baltimore you have to spread them out and the more threats on the outside the better.  This pick gives them the ability to do that.

7.       San Francisco 49ers - Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
I don’t think this is exactly what Jim Harbaugh wants in his first draft, but the talent level is too high to pass up.  Vic Fangio (new defensive coordinator) grew up with Dom Capers and plays his system so adding athleticism to the front-7 is probably never frowned upon.  San Fran will be more aggressive with blitzing and Fairley could help that at various positions on the defensive line.  Playing with Justin Smith will help Fairley a lot in my opinion.

8.       Tennessee Titans - Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
I think once Bowers finally works out this off-season everything will go back to normal with his elite draft status.  He’s an ideal fit in Tennessee’s system even with newly appointed Jerry Gray as D.C. (Gray come from Gregg Williams’ defensive system/tree).  Tennessee will rely on 4-man rush principles and adding Bowers to elite DT’s in Jones/Brown seems a decent plan.  Even if Derrick Morgan pans out, Bowers is just as suited to play either end position.

9.       St. Louis Rams (from Dallas) - Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
St. Louis leapfrogs Washington (picks #14 and #78) to draft Jones and pair the potentially elite receiver with Sam Bradford.  Jerry Jones begins a strong evening of potential trades (this might not be the only one) as he has multiple targets at OT, DL and CB still available.

10.   New England Patriots (from Washington) - Robert Quinn, OLB, North Carolina
Belichick makes his first big move by trading picks #17 and #60 to move up and select the elite pass rusher the team so desperately needs.  I know Belichick normally trades down, which is why doing the opposite is exactly what I expect from him this year.  Washington wanted Jones, but with him gone the opportunity to get more picks (the Redskins don’t have a 3rd or 4th rounder this year) is too good to pass up.

11.   Houston Texans - Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
This is a very common spot for Amukamara to land in most mock drafts and I don’t disagree.  Houston needs help/depth in the secondary and this spot suits Amukamara’s draft grade.  He should be a good fit in that division and system.

12.   Minnesota Vikings - Cameron Jordan, DE, California
If Steve Jordan had a successful career in purple, why not his son?  This is a safe pick and Jordan can play multiple positions along the front-4 and provide some 3rd down options.  I still feel by targeting someone like McNabb in free agency, this team could win 10+ games with its talent level.  Offensive tackle could be a target but Bryant McKinnie still has a few years in the tank and I like Loadholt on the right side.

13.   Detroit Lions - Tyron Smith, OT, USC
In all honesty, this is the type of player Detroit should select at tackle instead of someone like Gosder Cherilus.  Cherilus is a nice player, but he can’t play 10 games a year in a dome - his footwork was never that elite.  Smith on the other hand is perfect for the quickness he’ll see week-in/week-out.  This kind of upgrade on the offensive line should help Detroit continue its improvement long-term.

14.   Dallas Cowboys (from St. Louis) - J. J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin
Dallas gets their guy and picks up a 3rd rounder in the process.  I don’t think O-line is as much an issue as people are making it out to be.  They will re-sign Free at LT.  Watt provides a lot of depth in an aging D-line and an immediate long-term upgrade to the defensive front-7.

15.   Miami Dolphins - Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama
I really think Miami shouldn’t overthink this pick.  They don’t draft again until Round 3 and using this pick on a high-risk quarterback doesn’t make sense.  I am trying to find a trade partner to trade back (since I think Ingram could potentially be left alone for another 10 picks), but can’t justify the cost/benefit for any team in the early 20’s right now.

16.   Jacksonville Jaguars - Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue
I kept trying to talk myself out of a DE into something interesting, but couldn’t do it.  Jack Del Rio and the Jaguars go back to the D-line again.  I’m not really a fan of the Jaguars program right now or where it’s headed.  It’s just average on too many fronts (from front office to coaching to talent to quarterback).  This team will eventually need a shake-up.

17.   Washington Redskins (from New England) - Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri
Washington makes out great by getting an extra pick in round 2 (which they need) and still picking up a quality front-7 player.  Smith is capable of playing opposite Orakpo and making a formidable pass rush duo.

18.   San Diego Chargers - Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
The first round starts to settle down as teams continue to not find trade partners and multiple options are available.  San Diego could go OT (Solder?), another DE (Heyward or Wilkerson) or an OLB (Ayers, Houston).  Difficult pick for me to make since I’ve heard very few rumors about AJ Smith this off-season.  Clayborn seems versatile enough to be a nice asset in the Chargers’ 1-gap 3-4 system.

19.   New York Giants - Anthony Costanzo, OT, Boston College
Most mock drafts have this selection but I am still unsure how high Coughlin and the Giants are on William Beatty.  That kid was talented but raw.  If they think he’s the answer eventually would OT really be the way to go?  Other options are CB (Brandon Harris?) or LB (Ayers or Houston).

20.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Justin Houston, DE, Georgia
Tampa Bay reaches a bit for need in grabbing raw pass rusher Justin Houston.  He’s an explosive edge rusher and combined with the DT’s from last season (McCoy and Price) could make for a top-notch defensive line.  Don’t count out a CB (Harris?) now that Talib is in trouble.

21.   Kansas City Chiefs - Phil Taylor, NT, Baylor
I was really tempted to take Pouncey here, but think the value of the NT to Kansas City wins out over interior O-line.  Taylor has been attached to this selection for months and it really comes down to whether or not Taylor’s character issues pass Pioli’s test.  Based on the fact New England often didn’t shy away from sketchy players (Maroney, Meriweather), I don’t think Pioli passes on his version of Vince Wilfork.

22.   Indianapolis Colts - Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi
I like Sherrod very much as a match for what Indianapolis likes to do.  Sherrod is a much better version of Tony Ugoh and should be starting very soon at LT.  Bill Polian doesn’t normally go offensive line this early in drafts, but he’s desperate to improve a group that is pretty disorganized right now.

23.   Cincinnati Bengals (from Philadelphia) - Cameron Heyward, DE/DT, Ohio St.
Cincinnati has three of the next of the next 17 selections and begins by adding the in-state defensive lineman.  Heyward provides a lot of options at the next level and should be a solid, long-term professional.  I know what I’m doing with Cincinnati is opposite of what Mike Brown will ever do and make every Cincinnati fan happy.  I really do sympathize with that fan base.

24.   New Orleans Saints - Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois
The two most difficult teams to pick for are New Orleans and Green Bay because both have few needs.  I went with best player available at a valuable position and decided on Corey Liuget.  He would make a nice addition next to Shaun Ellis and provide depth for that group.

25.   Dallas Cowboys (from Seattle) - Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
Jerry Jones wheels and deals again to move back up into the 1st round (trading picks #40 and #78) to select the gifted Jimmy Smith.  After taking the solid character in JJ Watt, Jones has a bit of house money to play with and he is too tempted by Smith’s ability to not make this move.  Dallas will find a way to patch up the O-line, but grabbing Watt and Smith should really help the defense long-term.  I know my quarterback article below has Seattle taking Ponder here, but I think Seattle takes a chance and trades back hoping to still get him at pick #40.  And Seattle has so many holes they need multiple picks right now.

26.   Baltimore Ravens - Brandon Harris, CB, Miami
Baltimore might have been tempted by Smith here but go back to the Miami connection in taking Brandon Harris.  This seems like a match preordained.  Harris will come into the Lewis/Reed/Gooden fraternity of Miami players and be expected to perform.  Harris has the skill to be able to contribute immediately somewhere on the back end.

27.   Pittsburgh Steelers (from Atlanta) - Mike Pouncey, OG, Flordia
Pouncey falls just enough for Pittsburgh to trade up and get him (trading #31 and #95 for Atlanta’s #27 and #124).  This really is the wet dream of most Steelers fans right now.  Trying to find a way to pair up the twins back together and fix their offensive line once and for all.  If the Steelers can get back a healthy Starks and Colon, keep Adams/Scott as insurance and have the Kemoeatu/Pouncey/Pouncey across the middle, things may really start to improve for this group long term.

28.   New England Patriots - Muhammad Wilkerson, DE, Temple
New England continues its youth movement on the defensive side of the ball adding the incredibly big and athletic Wilkerson.  This guy is the perfect Belichick/Parcells type DE with raw strength, size and length for the position.  Belichick can never have too many defensive linemen.

29.   Chicago Bears - Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
The draft couldn’t play out better for the offensive line depleted Chicago Bears.  Carimi is an ideal fit for the Bears’ field and weather conditions.  Similar to Detroit, he’s the type of player they should have drafted instead of Chris Williams and should find a home somewhere on the O-line.  Bears fans should love this pick.

30.   New York Jets - Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA
The Jets take the versatile Ayers at pick #30 to fit well with Ryan’s ever changing defense.  Ayers has just type of athleticism/size Ryan likes from his front-7 players and can play OLB and ILB and move around pre-snap.  Those are the types of linebackers Ryan loves.

31.   Atlanta Falcons (from Pittsburgh) - Kyle Rudolf, TE, Notre Dame
Atlanta trades back, improves their 4th round selection into a 3rd rounder and grabs the guy they would have selected at pick #27 in Kyle Rudolf.  I know many are having Atlanta go defensive or offensive line, but I think this is a huge need/talent matchup that can’t be overlooked.  Dimitroff comes from Belichick’s tree that loves tight ends.  Rudolf is a great all-around tight end talent.  And with aging Gonzalez losing a step and no one else on the roster, this pick just makes too much sense for me.  No one else is really targeting this guy either, which makes trading back once (and possibly twice if someone wants to jump up here for a QB) a likely possibility for Atlanta.

32.   Green Bay Packers - Brooks Reed, OLB, Arizona
Once again, Green Bay “reaches” a bit on a guy not many know about or thought of as a 1st round talent 3-4 months ago.  But Reed makes a lot of sense in Green Bay’s system and really fits with how Kevin Green is teaching his guys and how he matches up opposite Clay Matthews.  Yes, he’s not the athlete Matthews is, and yes this appears on the surface as picking Matthews v2.0, but Reed has picked up a lot of steam this off-season and Green Bay is a great fit for his talents.


33.   New England Patriots - Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor
New England gets the offensive lineman they want waiting until the start of day 2.  This is Logan Mankins insurance (Quinn, Wilkerson, Watkins).

34.   Buffalo Bills - Nate Solder, OT, Colorado
Buffalo needs defense but can’t pass up the value Solder presents at pick 34 (Newton, Solder).

35.   Cincinnati Bengals - Benjamin Ijalana, OT, Villanova
If you know anything about how Cincinnati picks offensive linemen, you learn they are OBSESSED with arm length.  And no prospect has better arm length (36”) with a nice compact body (6’-3½”, 317lbs) like Ijalana.  No way does Cincinnati pass on this kid if given the opportunity (Kolb, Heyward, Ijalana)

36.   Denver Broncos - Rahim Moore, S, UCLA
Moore has fallen a bit, but there is value here and Denver jumps on the chance to get a true playmaking center fielder (Dareus, Moore)

37.   Cleveland Browns - Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon St.
Cleveland begins its transition to a 4-3 defense by selected the best available defensive lineman (Green, Paea).

38.   Cincinnati Bengals (from Arizona) - Jon Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh
Cincinnati completes their off-season transformation by selecting the talented Jon Baldwin to bolster the receiving core (Kolb, Heyward, Ijalana, Baldwin, traded Palmer).

39.   Tennessee Titans - Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas
The 2nd tier quarterbacks start to fall into place (Bowers, Mallett).

40.   Seattle Seahawks (from Dallas) - Christian Ponder, QB, Florida St.
My article below had Seattle taking Ponder at pick #25, but this is better value (Ponder).

41.   Washington Redskins - Jake Locker, QB, Washington
Shanahan get the QB he most covets at the correct spot/value (A. Smith, Locker)

42.   Houston Texans - Kendrick Ellis, NT, Hampton
Houston desperately needs a NT to let Williams and the LB’s to do their thing in Wade Phillips 3-4 defense.  Ellis might be a bit of a reach, but his raw talent/size is 2nd round worthy (Amukamara, Ellis)

43.   Minnesota Vikings - Stefen Wisniewski, C, Penn State
A boring but good pick in my opinion.  Minnesota comes out of the draft with two high-character, quality players for their lines (Jordan, Wisniewski).

44.   Detroit Lions - Mikel Leshoure, RB, Illinois
I struggled a lot with deciding where the RB’s start to fall in round 2 (and if they even do at all).  There is a lot of depth at RB in this draft and if I was GM I might wait another round or two.  But Leshoure is a really, really good talent and Detroit gets another weapon to put around Stafford (T. Smith, Leshoure).

45.   San Francisco 49ers - Aaron Williams, CB, Texas
San Fran gets the top rated CB/S left on the board to really help a weak secondary (Fairley, Williams)

46.   Denver Broncos - Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada
After nice defensive picks at #2 and #36, Elway finally pulls the trigger on the athletic Kaepernick (Dareus, Moore, Kaerpernick).

47.   St. Louis  Rams - Martez Wilson, LB, Illinois
Wilson reminds me a lot of the big, athletic LB’s Spagnoulo liked in New York.  Guys that can blitz and do a lot of things.  The Rams are weak at a lot of positions and Wilson is a nice value selection (Jones, Wilson).

48.   Oakland Raiders - Devon House, CB, New Mexico State
Al Davis selects the raw but fast House to replace Asomugha in the secondary (House).

49.   Jacksonville Jaguars - Curtis Brown, CB, Texas
I know Jacksonville is probably the most boring team to pick for.  Brown is a value/need selection (Kerrigan/Brown).

50.   San Diego Chargers - Leonard Hankerson, WR, Miami
San Diego is definitely a team that could move up having two 2nds and two 3rds to play with.  Hankerson provides some much needed depth at WR with the uncertainty of Vincent Jackson’s future with the team (Clayborn, Hankerson).

51.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Ryan Williams, RB, Virginia Tech
Tampa Bay continues to improve its overall talent level by selecting Ryan Williams, who is a gifted (potential star) running back to pair with LaGarrett Blount (Houston, Williams).

52.   New York Giants - Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina
I have never seen the Giants shy away from selecting a quality defensive lineman and Austin is just that.  He’s a bit raw but has enormous talent, size and strength that the Giants covet (Costanzo, Austin).

53.   Indianapolis Colts - Drake Nevis, DT, LSU
An ideal 3-technique DT that fits the Tampa-2 system well (Sherrod, Nevis).

54.   Philadelphia Eagles - Marcus Cannon, OT/OG, TCU
Similar to the way the Giants pick D-linemen, Andy Reid loves his big offensive lineman and no one is bigger or nastier than Marcus Cannon in this draft.  Could replace Winston Justice at RT almost immediately (Peterson, Cannon, traded Kolb).

55.   Kansas City Chiefs - Jabaal Sheard, OLB, Pittsburgh
Pioli is very happy to find Sheard at this spot and pair him up with Tamba Hali at OLB.  This is a big position of need for the Chiefs and Sheard is nice value (Taylor, Sheard).

56.   New Orleans Saints - Mason Foster, LB, Washington
New Orleans again find quality value and character at a position of need in Mason Foster, who is a smart sideline to sideline guy that will do well in Gregg Williams system (Liuget, Foster).

57.   Seattle Seahawks - Rodney Hudson, G/C, Florida State
After trading back and picking up their quarterback, the Seahawks (who need everything) pick up the most technically sound lineman in the draft and a guy who fits Carroll’s system perfectly (Ponder, Hudson, pick #78).

58.   Baltimore Ravens - Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland
Baltimore is happy to find the locally grown, speedy deep threat they need still available in Torrey Smith (Harris, Smith).

59.   Atlanta Falcons - Clint Boiling, G/T, Georgia
Atlanta has some question marks on the O-line and Boiling (in-state guy) could be a nice solution with his versatility and growth potential.  Boiling is really rising on draft charts. (Rudolf, Boiling)

60.   Washington Redskins (from New England) - Titas Young, WR, Boise St.
I really compare this pick to when Shanahan selected Eddie Royal at #42 in 2008.  Very similar players and a good fit for the thin Redskin receiving core (A. Smith, Locker, Young).

61.   San Diego Chargers - Donte Moch, OLB, Nevada
San Diego continues to add depth with the talented but raw Donte Moch at OLB (Clayborn, Hankerson, Moch).  San Diego still has two high picks in round 3.

62.   Chicago Bears - Jurrell Casey, DT, USC
Casey is the best available DT that really fits what they look for in a 3-technique.  Casey's a bit raw but has a lot of potential for Marinelli to work with (Carimi, Casey).

63.   Pittsburgh Steelers - Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia
Pittsburgh reaches a bit and selects a need position (not having a 3rd round pick).  Dowling fits well with what Lebeau does and he could surprise in this system (Pouncey, Dowling, no 3rd, two 4ths).

64.   Green Bay Packers - Jason Pinkston, OG/OT, Pittsburgh
I would love to hear who Packer fans would pick here as I am a bit stumped.  I selected the versatile Pinkston who can fill in a lot of spots but players like Ballard, Kendricks, another CB or even a safety (McDaniel?) might be options (Reed, Pinkston).

65.    Carolina Panthers pick - Christian Ballard, DE/DT
Carolina needs a lot of things so picking Ballard here seems like great value (Gabbert, Ballard).

So what do you think?  I would really like to hear from specific team fans and tell me if they like who they ended up with or who they would select instead.